Dick Nichols
Russian social media is awash with rumours that all borders will be closed to draftees at any moment.
During the first seven months of Vladimir Putinâs âspecial military operationâ against Ukraine, the Russian president had little trouble taming his domestic opposition.
Street protests were immediately broken up, the Duma (parliament) adopted a raft of repressive legislation, and all independent Russian media were shut down or driven into exile.
The strong domestic consensus in favour of a-war-that-is-still-illegal-to-call-a-war was built by marketing it as a continuation of the best tradition of Russian patriotic sacrifice â a âdenazificationâ rescue operation of the Russian-speaking Donbass, in the spirit of the Great Patriot War against Hitlerâs Germany (1941â45).
It was also painted as resistance to the anti-Russian schemes of what the Putin administration calls âthe collective Westâ â the United States, Britain, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and the European Union.
This induced coma came to an end on September 21, when Putin announced that 300,000 people in the current military reserve would be called up to bolster the Russian war effort, shaken by the successful Ukrainian offensive earlier in the month.
âReferendaâ on whether the self-styled Lugansk and Donetsk Peopleâs Republics and the occupied territories of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia should join the Russian Federation were abruptly implemented on September 20, after having been put on hold only a week earlier.
The left Russian web site Posle (Afterwards) described Putinâs announcement as âa desperate step and a challenge for a regime that had relied on mass depoliticisation. There had been an informal pact between citizens and the state: âyou stay out of the stateâs business, and the state remains out of yours.â Now it is no longer possible to quietly watch the war on the television; people must die in it.â
Just how âpartialâ?
Russian Armed Forces official spokesperson, Rear Admiral Vladimir Tsimplyansky, spelled out some details of the draft, on September 22, which will be in addition to the annual conscription intake of around 120,000.
The 18 to 27-year-olds doing their yearâs military service are excluded from the draftâs provision for enlistment beyond Russiaâs borders. Also excluded are students, a decision possibly influenced by the finding of the latest Levada poll  that 54% of 18-25 year olds favour immediately starting peace talks with Ukraine.
The call-up was ready for implementation as soon as Putin announced it. For example, pilots with Russian commercial airlines were receiving their summons hours afterwards, while draftees from the far eastern Republic of Buryatia were already on their way to barracks early on September 22.
Putin signed into law tougher penalties for crimes against military service during the call-up period, on September 24. These had already been adopted unanimously on September 20 by a Duma that would have known Putinâs announcement was coming.
The law stipulates up to three years in prison for refusal to participate in military actions, and up to 10 years if a refusal incurs âserious consequencesâ.
Pro-Putin social network âinfluencersâ stressed how âpartialâ the call-up is â a mere 300,000 out of 25 million potential reservists. They circulated under a #nopanic hashtag a meme comparing the number summoned to arms to one lolly in a bag of 100.
That was unconvincing, not the least because the official decree ordering the call up contained a confidential section covering the number that could potentially be mobilised. According to the now-exiled Novaya Gazeta, citing âa source from the Putin administrationâ, up to one million might be drafted.
Flight
Putinâs press secretary Dmitry Peskov called this leak âa lieâ, but in a country that had been reassured for seven months that the âspecial military operationâ was going to plan, the sudden announcement of the draft provoked mass shock.
The most immediate signs were the exhaustion within five hours of all tickets on flights leaving Russia and the formation of queues of up to 19 kilometres at the countryâs border checkpoints with Finland, North Ossetia, Kazakhstan and Mongolia.
According to the September 25 Novaya Gazeta, the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) estimated that 261,000 men and women liable to call-up left the country in the period September 21â24. By September 25, the FSBâs border guard was issuing notices at Kazakh border checkpoints preventing draft-age persons from departing.
At the time of writing (September 27), Russian social media is awash with rumours that all borders will be closed to draftees at any moment, with the authorities waiting only for the end of the voting in the Donbass âreferendaâ.
Spontaneous protests
The call-up provoked spontaneous protests in the non-Russian regions that, proportionate to their populations, have supplied most soldiers for Putinâs Ukraine operation,
For example, analysis by the BBC's Russian service claims to show that at least 301 soldiers from the north Caucasian republic of Dagestan have died, 10 times more than from Moscow.
In Yakutskh, capital of the Far Eastern region of Sakha (Republic of Yakhutia), the female relatives of draftees surrounded police at a recruitment point in a central square with their traditional group dance, the osuokhai, while shouting "No to genocide!" and "No to war!â.
Aisen Nikolaev, Yakutiaâs leader, announced in response that those called up âby mistakeâ should be returned from the armed forces.
In Dagestan, protesters blocked highways and, according to human rights monitor OVD-Info, more than 100 people have so far been arrested during protests in the regional capital Makhachkala.
One video (subtitled in English) shows women demanding the release of draftees for a war they say Russia started.
Other videos show protesters confronting police, with OVD-Info reporting that the forces of order used stun guns and truncheons on the crowds, as well as firing live ammunition into the air.
Like his Yakutian counterpart, Dagestan governor Sergei Melikov admitted on February 26 that "mistakes have been made".
Chechnya â an autocrat retreats
Even the autocratic ruler of Chechnya, arch-Putinist Ramzån Kadyrov, who supplied his personal militia as shock troops for the Russian war effort, has become responsive to female protest.
After the success of the Ukrainian offensive in early September, Kadyrov was all bluster â the Russian retreat was a disaster, its military were incompetent, heads had to roll.
Moreover, the September 21 exchange of 225 Ukrainian for 55 Russian prisoners left him âextremely unhappyâ because âhanding over even one of those Azov terrorists should have been out of the questionâ. Kadyrov said on September 12 that he would be sending âelite troopsâ to bolster the weakened Russian presence in the Kharkiv region.
However, on September 21 in the Chechen capital Grozny, the following appeal for everyone to attend Friday prayers in the central city mosque appeared on local chats: âThe day has come when we must all show our unity. Our children have been sent to war to die, all my sons are in Ukraine, two of them are already dead. I will not give them the rest. If I go to the mosque alone, I will be intimidated, or worse, but if we all stand together and say that our children are not expendable, our children will be with us.â
Around 20 women turned up for the prayer-protest and all were arrested, with Kadyrov saying their husbands should be sent to Ukraine.
Yet, the Chechen overlord announced on September 23 that his country would not be taking part in the call-up, on the grounds that it had already âoverfulfilled its quotaâ of recruits by 254%.
Return to the streets
These spontaneous protests were accompanied by planned actions in more than 30 cities, an initiative of the pacifist youth movement VesnĂĄ (Spring) and Feminist Anti-War Resistance (FAS). The actions turned into a cat-and-mouse game against a massive police presence, with the organisers announcing changes of venue at the last moment over Telegram channels.
According to OVD-Info, 2355 arrests took place in protests between September 21-26. Coverage of the protests can be found on The Moscow Times and Meduza websites and on Green Leftâs translation of the FAS Telegram Channel.
FAS summed up the meaning of the protests in a September 25 post: âWhile this number is a drop in the bucket on a national scale, it was an important and worthwhile protest and here is why: for the first time since the war began, the agenda of the protesters fully coincided with the mass sentiments of the people.â